First of all - in any such tasks backup your file in advance as there just are too many rough edges and things could go wrong.
To reach your target of "shrink the disk" you'd need to free space from the end of it, but your case needs some steps to achieve that from what I can see.
First of all you need to know how to use this as a block device but do NOT mount it as all of the following will need it unmounted. For that - as it is a raw file - use losetup as explained here.
Then you need to shrink the ext FS on sda1 via resize2fs
as explained here. This will make space at the end of sda1.
Next you have the extra problem that your boot partition is after the data partition, so get space at the end that you can then shrink you also need to move that e.g. as explained here.
Then you have space free at the end which allows you to resize via qemu-img resize --shrink
as explained on the man page.
Finally since you moved the boot partition you might need to fix up things of the boot loader (not always true, but could apply in your case). For that finally mount your disks make sda15 to be /boot under the root FS of sda1. then chroot into this environment and run sudo update-grub
to ensure all meta entries are in the right spot. This last step burdensome and not always needed (depends on too many details). Only go for that if the result of the former step won't boot by not finding the bootloader.
Overall there is a lot of complexity and potential dataloss to it, so maybe backup between each step?